Richard Butler Creagh: How are the UK’s talks with the EU going?

Here is the latest news from Richard Butler Creagh.

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EU officials say the UK is “dancing around the issues” in talks in Brussels on a Brexit deal. Boris Johnson’s government is seeking to renegotiate the withdrawal deal agreed by his predecessor, Theresa May, but discussions so far have been at a very general level. The EU maintains the text of the withdrawal agreement is closed but it is still listening.

“The UK wants a less involved relationship,” says one EU source close to the talks, “but it’s not clear what that means in practice.” The prime minister’s Brexit envoy, David Frost, is back in Brussels this week for further talks but time is running short. UK officials say criticism of their approach, from the EU side, is unfair.

“We’re having conversations this week which pick up on last week’s discussions,” one official says, “and we’ve agreed where to focus talks in the future.” That means the focus is still in Brussels.

So far this week, the UK side says it has presented ideas on customs and manufactured goods, while there has been further discussion on the non-binding political declaration which sits alongside the withdrawal agreement and outlines the future relationship between the two sides. But while the government says progress is being made, the EU insists no formal proposals have been tabled.

Clock ticking

There is also a sense from those involved in the talks the UK’s desire for a looser relationship involves not just economic issues but defence and security too. All of this exasperates the EU. There is plenty of churn behind the scenes but little certainty about anything.

Philip Rycroft, who was until recently the permanent secretary at the Department for Exiting the European Union, says it will be very difficult to get a deal done by mid-October.

If the EU were to shift position on any issue, it would want some degree of confidence a new deal could win the approval of the UK Parliament. That could mean waiting for a general election – but if anything is going to be achieved in these talks, it is going to have to happen pretty quickly.

Future relationship

As well as replacing the backstop, Boris Johnson wants a clearer path to what he calls a “best-in-class” Canada-style free-trade agreement with the EU in the future.

But it has been made clear during the talks in Brussels that this would involve the UK getting rid of many “level playing field” elements – promises agreed by Theresa May to stick close to EU rules on things such as subsidies for business, workers’ rights and environmental rules.

Richard Butler Creagh is the founder of Henley Finance and has been one of the first people in the UK to identify the need for reliable and fast bridging finance. In all its forms, Richard Butler Creagh also designed this blog for readers who want to know what’s going on in the British news helping you to keep abreast of events and form your own opinion of the latest issues. Richard Butler Creagh also gathers and reflects on news as it happens, adding depth and context to breaking stories on the Richard Butler Creagh Twitter page here. Keep up to date with what’s happening on the Richard Butler Creagh Linkedin page here.

Is this technology safe?

The blockchain as a transaction book with the current technology and computing power of computers cannot be created. It is estimated that a computing power equal to half the Internet is needed to break a blockchain network. However, the introduction of quantum computers will require the implementation of new cryptographic security features according to Forbes. Blockchain transactions in the blockchain are irreversible. Attempting to change one block involves changing the entire blockchain following it. In the event that someone tries to cheat, change or enter an unauthorized transaction, the blockchain nodes in the verification and reconciliation process will discover that one of the copies of the book has a transaction that is incompatible with the records in the network and refuses to include it in the blockchain. Data, transactions and their order are resistant to counterfeiting and all kinds of manipulations. The blockchain philosophy, advanced mathematical methods, and cryptographic security allow us to trust the data contained in the accounting books of the transaction. On the other hand, is the chain because can’t get any point because of nature it works, the entire block needs to be rewritten or scrapped but for this happens this is to be identified. It is difficult to identify it the chain is many many many blocks away.

The financial industry was the first to recognize the potential of blockchain, but also the risk for its status quo that this technology brings. Since 2014, we have seen a huge flood of start-ups, which develop crypt-based technology for block-based currencies. A new industry is emerging, named for finance and technology in the FinTech industry, and in the insurance industry Insurance Tech (or InsurTech). There is a lot going on in the traditional financial industry. In 2015, a consortium of Banks and FinTech was established with the aim of developing blockchains. The consortium for September 2016 included, among others, Citi, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Societe Generale, Deutche Bank, HSBC, Barclays, Credit Suisse, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and ING. In July 2016, Citi announced that it had developed its own crypto-currency, which he named Citicoin. FinTech start-up Chain.com received on October 30 million USD co-financing (from Nasdaq, Visa, CapitalOne, Orange and Citigroup) in order to build a solution that will allow you to send various valuable assets in the network (loyalty points, shares, vouchers and various financial instruments).

Learn more about Richard Butler Creagh, the founder of Henley Finance here. Read more about Henley Finance which is a bridging lender company that invests in UK property here.

What is blockchain?

Blockchain technology is used to store and send information about transactions concluded on the Internet. Those are arranged in the form of consecutive blocks of data. One block contains information about a specified number of transactions, after its saturation with information, another block of data is created, followed by the next block, creating a kind of chain. In the chain, on average, a new block appears every 10 minutes, in which information about various transactions, eg trade, stocks, shares, stocks, sales, purchase of electricity, purchase or sale of currencies, including cryptocurrencies, ie currencies, may be sent.

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The essence of blockchain is to maintain a joint and collective accounting book of transactions, in a digital form, scattered across the entire network, in the same copies. This technology is based on a peer-to-peer network without central computers, management, and transaction verification systems. Every computer in the network can participate in the transfer and authentication of transactions. In the case of blockchains, they will be blocks within the transaction book. The book is open to everyone, but it is fully protected against unauthorized access by complex cryptographic tools. The user can view only their transactions. Thanks to this record, transactions are public, but available only within the access rights for a given user and their entire history, from the very beginning of the existence of the blockchain to this day, you can review and verify.

Currently, blockchain can be used to handle various transactions (trade, currency, stocks, shares, electricity market), but work is underway to use the blockchain, as an accounting book in banking, document authentication system, digital signature in state administration and notarization. All these transactions may take place outside the system functioning for centuries – without the participation of public trust institutions, directly between the parties to the transaction. You can store any type of transaction in blockchain block data blocks. One of the applications are cryptocurrencies, e.g. Bitcoin. While the future of Bitcoin itself is under question, blockchain, as a technology and transaction platform, has found recognition in many industries, including financial, energy or trade.

Essentially cryptocurrencies market has given birth to blockchain and while the markets itself undergoes a slight slowdown, the technology is now used in many banks not only other verification tool but also as a tool to investigate and predict market behavior. A new market has formed where banks offer security services based on the Blockchain technology four example BNP Paribas.

Richard Butler Creagh is the founder of Henley Finance. Find out more about getting the right finance for you on the Henley Finance website here. Follow the Richard Butler Creagh Twitter page for the latest news on bridging finance here. Learn more about the work of Richard Butler Creagh here.

About Henley Finance

richard butler creagh

Richard Butler Creagh is the founder of Henley Finance. Henley Finance was established in 2013 and is a short-term bridging finance company specializing in loans between three months to a year, of between £100,000 to £1,000,000 for the professional property developer. This approach is borne out when Richard attended a Risk Management Seminar at the Van Tharp Institute in the USA. The learning Richard took from this informs all decisions at Henley Finance, from the core of how the investments are placed to ensure our borrowers have the best exit strategy. Having this insight had also led to the development of some of the company’s own lending products.

The relationship with our client is the key to being able to understand their requirements and deliver our promises. Consistent communication is an element that is present throughout the life of the loan so Henley Finance relies on people who share its values in business, making the process transparent and understandable for everyone involved.

“We make sure our investors are protected so that no one project can affect another.  The borrower gets protection on the basis that we don’t take anything on unless it has stood up to our due diligence process and is viable. We are rigorous but in the end everyone benefits.  Our aim is to help all sides of the project thrive.” – Richard Butler-Creagh, 2017

If you are interested in purchasing a property then contact a reputable bridging finance company like Henley Finance. Follow Richard Butler Creagh on Twitter and read the latest Richard Butler Creagh news here.

You can also watch Richard Butler Creagh video here:

 

Where is the Pound really heading to?

One of the biggest questions is everyone’s mind nowadays is where is the pound heading to.

One of the biggest questions is everyone’s mind nowadays is where is the pound heading to.  Does this mean things will definitely go down this route that I envision? Absolutely not. When it comes to economics, politics and foreign exchange rates (all closely tied) no one really knows what’s coming

What will make or break the pound?

The thing that will make the pound make, or break, is whether a Brexit agreement will be formed in the coming months, before the people, the EU, and the market will reach a definite conclusion that there is no agreement (i.e. a hard Brexit). Will any agreement of an orderly Brexit will bring back confidence to the pound? Probably not, but once an agreement has been reached, it is likely that the downslide of the pound will stop (but not sure going to recover its rates).

What are the chances of an agreement taking place?

The EU’s stances on the Brexit negotiation were very rigid right from the beginning, and it doesn’t seem, or at least not reflected back to the media, that these stances have changed over the course of the year. The EU is well aware of the fact a hard Brexit will be devastating to the British economy, and they will make the best out of the situation (which is ill-favored to them, to begin with, because the EU would have been better off with the UK). The disarray and fear rising in the UK will only refuel the flames, it is now more apparent than ever than that the EU will essentially decide on the state of the economy in the UK for the next 5-10 years at least.

Where should be pound be heading to in each scenario?

  • If a deal is made by October, it passes and regarded as a good deal for the British economy, the Sterling may jump 5-7% back to the 1.20’s (against the Euro).
  • If a deal is made by October, passes but it is seen as the kind of deal that May was forced into complying with and is not favorable enough with the economy, we are seeing the 1.15-1.18 range as fit (pretty much where it’s been at over the past few months).
  • If a deal is made by October, but PM May is unable to pass it, it signals a “no-deal” and pound will shift below 1.10 against the Euro and may reach parity by year’s end.
  • If no deal is made by October, it signals a “no-deal” and pound will shift below 1.10 against the Euro and may reach parity by year’s end.

Out of these scenarios, there is almost no upside to the pound. Only if the best scene takes place we will be experiencing 5-7% increase, but in every other situation, the GBPEUR will either stay where it is now or decline. Hence, if you are considering exchanging your GBP to EUR and waiting for the “rates to improve”, we think it’s unrealistic. Better to pull the trigger now than to expect big hopes from a nation that voted “leave”.

If you are a business in need of finance, then you can consult Richard Butler Creagh at Henley Finance. Connect with Richard Butler Creagh on his Linkedin page here if you want financial support for your business. Learn more about the work of Richard Butler Creagh here.

Costing the country: Britain’s finance curse

‘Finance curse’ sucks talent and investment from other industries, costing £67,500 per person over the course of two decades, say, researchers.

‘Finance curse’ sucks talent and investment from other industries, costing £67,500 per person over the course of two decades, say, researchers.

The UK has lost out on a “staggering” £4.5 trillion over the course of two decades because of an oversized financial sector, a new study has found. The “gravitational pull” of the City of London has damaged economic growth by sucking talent and investment from other productive uses such as manufacturing and research while inflating asset prices, particularly property, a paper from The Sheffield Political Economy Research Institute concluded. Between 1995 and 2015 this “finance curse” has lowered cumulative GDP by 14 percent compared to what it would have been with a leaner financial services sector, the researchers found.

Between 1995 and 2015 this “finance curse” has lowered cumulative GDP by 14 percent. They drew on previous academic studies from economists at the International Monetary Fund among others, who observed that as the level of credit to the private sector increases it generally boosts the economy as funds are allocated to people and businesses that need it.

According to the new research, the UK, which has a very large financial sector, has foregone a “staggering” £4.5 trillion of economic growth – equivalent to two and a half years of GDP or £67,500 per person.The researchers concede that the results are approximate and that further work is needed to confirm the size of this effect in the UK and its causes. Meanwhile, financial services firms reaped an estimated £400bn in excess profits.

These booming profits and salaries pushed up the relative value of the UK’s currency, making manufactured goods and agricultural products more expensive to overseas buyers. Because the price of those goods is set internationally some businesses in those sectors have become less competitive or even unviable. There are many different financing options available to real estate investors. If you are a business in need of finance, then you can consult Richard Butler Creagh at Henley Finance. Follow Richard Butler Creagh on Twitter and connect with Richard Butler Creagh on his Linkedin page here.

Top Facts about London’s Property Market

gI_66742_hf logoAt Henley Finance we bring you the latest news from the world of bridging finance and specialist property lending. Leading property agent “Portico” has recently launched out a fun quiz to find out what Londoners actually know about the capital’s property market.
“How many days, on average, does it take for a London property to go under offer?” is the question from the quiz that has the most incorrect answers. 67% of the quiz takers has thought the average time it takes for a property in London to go under offer was 32 days or fewer. But based on actual fact, because of subdued market conditions, the correct answer was almost double to what the people know, it is 60 days and only 27% of the quiz takers answered correctly. Despite of the fact that the Bank of England has recently voted to keep interest rates unchanged, there were a lot of uncertainties surrounding the rate. Only 25% of the respondents were not able to correctly recall the UK’s present base rate of .25%
The respondents were also asked “How many active London rentals are currently on Airbnb?”. An enormous amount of 66% of quiz takers were not aware of the number of Londoners using the short-term let site, instead choosing for much lower figures.
The findings were indeed surprising. The quiz showed that Londoners know their house prices, it has 80% able to identify which property among the four choices was currently on the market for £300,000 or less. Londoners are also clearly clued up on buying properties. 52% were able to answer how much “Stamp Duty” would be due on a £500,000 additional property and only 77% was aware of the minimum deposit needed for a London Help to Buy equity loans.
London is one of the best cities in the world to work, whether it is in the financial institutions or a trendy design company. London office space has some of the most expensive in the world at 250 dollars per square foot. This is twice as expensive as the 5th most expensive place which is Shanghai at 136 dollars per square foot.
Specialist lenders have witnessed the total value of their lending increase to £17bn per year in 2016 – more than a three-fold increase from the low base of £5bn recorded in 2009.
Specialist lenders are now in a position of strength following the market’s turbulent past and are effectively catering for the growing number of ‘non-standard’ borrowers in the UK who fall outside mainstream lenders’ criteria.
If you are interested on London’s property market, visit the official page of Henley Finance and Richard Butler Creagh here. Know more about Richard Butler Creagh and read more industry updates on his Twitter page. Watch this video to find out more: